Tuesday, December 22, 2009

Geneva hit by housing constraints


Source : Business Times – 22 Dec 2009

London bankers seeking to move to Geneva face housing and other problems

Geneva, touted as a haven for London bankers facing heavier UK taxes, may lure fewer than predicted thanks to a housing shortage, crowded schools and a 44 per cent income-tax rate.

Barclays plc president Robert Diamond this month joined a chorus of financial leaders in arguing that the UK’s 50 per cent tax on bonuses would drive bankers away from London. The Swiss Private Bankers Association said the ‘arbitrary’ tax will boost the allure of Geneva, whose bankers oversee about 10 per cent of the world’s foreign-held private wealth.

‘It’s a joke, it’s lobbying,’ said Tim Dawson, an analyst at Geneva-based brokerage Helvea AG.

‘People are dreaming if they think the London investment banking world is going to move. There is more office space in Canary Wharf than in the whole of Switzerland,’ he said, referring to London’s second financial district.

Chancellor of the Exchequer Alistair Darling said this month that banks awarding discretionary bonuses of more than £25,000 (S$56,750) would have to pay a one-time levy of 50 per cent. That followed earlier decisions to boost the top tax rate to 50 per cent and rescind special breaks for residents whose tax home is outside the country.

That’s making the UK a ‘hostile environment’ for wealthy people and many are considering relocating to rival financial centers, said Caroline Garnham, a partner at London- based law firm Lawrence Graham LLP who advises on tax planning.

The numbers choosing Switzerland will be small, and banks with Swiss roots, such as Credit Suisse Group AG and UBS AG, will probably find it easiest to move workers, said Stefan Schuermann, an analyst at Zurich-based Vontobel Holding AG.

‘I don’t expect huge masses; there is going to be some inflow,’ Mr Schuermann said. ‘You don’t easily move just because of tax issues if you have a family.’

Those keen to settle in Geneva, a city of fewer than 200,000 on the doorstep of ski resorts such as Verbier, Chamonix and Megeve, will face housing constraints.

Just 92 detached houses were vacant throughout the canton, which includes suburbs and outlying villages, on June 1 as population growth outpaced expansion of the property market, according to figures from the canton’s statistic office. Geneva’s vacancy rate for all types of accommodation stood at 0.21 per cent, compared with 0.66 per cent in Zurich and 2.3 per cent in London.

The median price of a four-bedroom house in Geneva was 1.62 million Swiss francs ($1.57 million) in the third quarter. The average price of a property in Kensington and Chelsea, London’s most expensive borough, was £790,946 in October, according to Land Registry data.

‘The pressure on services might become an issue,’ said Glen Millar, a Geneva-based consultant at Kinetic Partners LLP, which says it is looking to relocate 15 hedge-fund firms to Switzerland from London after the UK announced a higher tax rate in April. ‘For that reason, arrivals may remain a trickle.’

More than 65,000 people, known as frontaliers, commute into Geneva from neighbouring France each day, according to cantonal figures, both for work and to pay less for housing.

At the International School of Geneva, where fees can total 28,000 francs (S$20,765) a year, applications for next September are almost double the number of likely vacancies, said admissions director John Douglas. The school, whose alumni include former Indian Prime Minister Indira Gandhi and retired US Army General Norman Schwarzkopf, plans to add 600 places by 2012.

‘It’s increasingly difficult to get places,’ Mr Douglas said. ‘It’s not just tax but location and quality of life. Hedge funds are part of the picture.’

And it isn’t just Geneva. Switzerland struggles to compete with the day-to-day attractions of London, a city whose population almost matches that of the whole country.

Switzerland ‘cannot match the force of attraction and integration of international melting pots like New York or London for hiring talent from all over the world,’ the Swiss Federal Council said in a Dec 16 report outlining strategies required to keep the country’s financial centers competitive.

While each Swiss canton sets its own tax rate, allowing local officials to negotiate individual tax deals with wealthy immigrants, those rules are coming under pressure. Zurich, Switzerland’s biggest city and the home of UBS and Credit Suisse, will abolish special tax privileges for foreign millionaires on Jan 1. The canton’s top rate of income tax is 40.3 per cent.

‘Some of the German-speaking cantons around Zurich are able to offer tax rates that never exceed 20 per cent, but people don’t want to move there, they prefer the lifestyle around Geneva,’ said Thierry Boitelle, a partner specialising in tax at law firm Altenburger. ‘From a tax point of view it doesn’t make sense to locate 100 people here.’

Altenburger advises clients to relocate only those functions that ‘add value,’ while leaving back office and administration jobs in cheaper locations.

With Swiss firms overseeing a quarter of the world’s offshore private wealth, it may make sense for private equity and hedge fund managers to move to Switzerland, said Millar at Kinetic.

BlueCrest Capital Management Ltd, a London-based hedge fund firm that oversees about US$15.4 billion, plans to open a Geneva office as increased taxes and regulation make London less attractive, a person familiar with the situation said last month. It follows Brevan Howard Asset Management LLP, Europe’s largest hedge fund manager, which said in September it may open an office in Switzerland.

The country has added 10 to 20 single-manager hedge funds over the past two years, according to the Swiss Funds Association. Switzerland’s 136 hedge funds managed US$17.3 billion at the end of June, compared with 828 overseeing US$263.2 billion in the UK, according to Eurohedge.

‘Limiting the income of investment managers, in addition to taxing them a lot, might encourage them to come to Switzerland,’ said Frederique Bensahel, a partner at the law firm FBT who advises hedge funds that have moved to Geneva. ‘It’s true that housing is extremely difficult and expensive and the schools are very full, but when you have a good project you will find a way.’

Altenburger receives six to 10 relocation inquiries a month at its offices in Geneva and Zurich, with about two turning into actual moves, Boitelle said.

‘It’s not a wave but a steady stream,’ he said. ‘If you’re coming from London, Geneva is a small village.’


Mayfair Gardens up for collective sale


Source : Business Times – 22 Dec 2009

Bids expected to start at $210m for the Bukit Timah site

THE collective sale market is gradually warming up, with a residential site in Bukit Timah up for bidding.

CKS Property Consultants has launched Mayfair Gardens, in Rifle Range Road, for tender. The asking price starts from $210 million, with the winner expected to fork out a further $40 million as a development charge and to top up the site’s lease to 99 years.

This means a developer will have to pay at least $857 per sq ft per plot ratio (psf ppr).

The 124-unit Mayfair Gardens has a remaining lease of about 72 years. The land area is 208,475 sq ft, with a gross plot ratio of 1.4. A new development could yield a maximum gross floor area of around 292,000 sq ft – equal to about 200 apartments of 1,500 sq ft.

CKS expects Mayfair Gardens to generate ‘keen interest’, especially as there are ‘no other such sizeable private sites available in the vicinity’.

The site is next to other private residential projects and near Bukit Timah Plaza and Beauty World Plaza.

It is also not far from Raffles Girls’ Primary School and Nanyang Girls’ High School and will be within walking distance of the upcoming Blackmore MRT station.

Ngee Ann Polytechnic real estate lecturer Nicholas Mak reckons there is a ‘fair chance’ the site will sell because of its location.

But he believes only major developers can afford it because the land alone will cost at least $250 million. He estimates the launch price would have to be above $1,300 psf.

Caveats show units in Mayfair Gardens changed hands at $695-$740 psf or $1.1-$1.33 million in August. At nearby Gardenvista, transaction prices ranged from $916-989 psf or $1.04-$1.12 million last month.

The tender for Mayfair Gardens closes on Jan 14, 2010, at 4pm. CKS had obtained consent from more than 80 per cent of the owners to proceed with the sale in March.

CKS was also behind the collective sale of Dragon Mansion early this month – the first such deal of the year. Roxy-Pacific picked up the site for $100.8 million or $863 psf ppr – less than the original asking price of $120 million or $1,020 psf ppr.

CKS investment manager Chia Mein Mein believes there will be demand for collective sale sites if prices are realistic.

Mr Mak expects to see more plots sold en bloc next year but says a lot depends on how the mid to high-end property segments perform.