Saturday, November 22, 2008

More 2 and 3 room HDB flats to be built in the next few months


Source : Channel NewsAsia - 22 Nov 2008


The construction and upgrading of HDB flats will be a major project in the months ahead. The National Development Ministry said these are ongoing projects which will not be affected by the economy.
Construction costs may have gone up but so has the demand for public housing.
National Development Minister Mah Bow Tan said: “The mix of the new flats that we’re building will change from the bigger flats now to the smaller flats that we will continue to build.”
The National Development Ministry said it intends to build more housing especially two and three room flats. This is to cope with the expected rising demand from Singaporeans hit by the economic downturn.
The ministry said 1,000 two- to three-room flats will be offered under the Build To Order (BTO) scheme this year.
Some 2,000 more such flats will be offered annually over the next few years depending on demand.
Mr Mah continued: “I think the current priority is to help the lower income. Because I foresee that the economic situation will start to impact the lower income more at this point in time.
“This year, we’re building about 8,000 new flats. Close to 1,000 of them can be for the 2- and 3-room flats. So it’s quite a high proportion.
“When someone is in financial difficulty, he wants to downgrade, sometimes they ask for a rental flat. Our position is that HDB rental flats are only for the very needy. So if you’re downgrading and you need some cash, I would rather that we help you to move into a smaller flat, but a flat that you own rather than a flat that you keep renting.”
Mr Mah said some five to ten per cent of Singaporeans are in the lower income group and the Ministry will ensure there are enough new rental flats for them.
Although the Ministry encourages home ownership, it recognises that rental flats may be the best option for some lower income Singaporeans.

Construction sector’s growth flagging

Source : Business Times - 22 Nov 2008

THE recent construction boom, after a prolonged downturn from the late 1990s to 2005, is starting to fade.

After a strong 20.3 per cent year-on-year growth last year, the construction sector sustained that momentum to report an 18 per cent growth rate in the first half of 2008. However, in this year’s third quarter, growth slowed to 12.8 per cent, an upward revision of the 7.8 per cent advance estimate, but a figure which still suggests that the sector’s recovery may be short-lived.

The construction sector’s contribution to real gross domestic product (GDP) rose four per cent to $2.4 billion in Q3 from $2.3 billion in Q2.

In a report released yesterday, MTI economist Wee Shu Lin said that overall construction demand will likely weaken on the back of a slowdown in global and local property markets.

As the worldwide financial crisis worsens, demand for commercial and industrial space is set to decline, and local private residential property prices and transactions have already started falling.

According to the report, more expensive construction materials, higher wages for professionals and managers, and higher rental costs for construction equipment were key in driving construction tender prices up over the past two years.

As these input costs have begun adjusting downwards and contracting capacity eases in tandem with slowing demand, construction tender prices are expected to moderate in 2009, the report said.


Funds waiting to grab cheap Asian properties

Source : Business Times - 22 Nov 2008

They are raising funds for direct property investments in the region as values slide

AS property values in Asia slide, hedge funds, private equity funds and pension funds are waiting in the wings to swoop in on good buys, according to KPMG’s global head of real estate, Jonathan Thompson.

‘We’re aware that some (hedge funds and private equity funds) have been raising money for distressed situations,’ Mr Thompson told BT.

Investors have been on the lookout. Just last month, Merrill Lynch completed fundraising for its Asian Real Estate Opportunity Fund, collecting some US$2.65 billion to invest in real estate assets and companies.

Reuters also reported on Wednesday that AMP Capital Investors is trying to raise up to S$2.9 billion for direct property investments in Asia. The Australian fund manager hopes to purchase Japanese shopping malls at a bargain as falling sales hit retailers and credit tightening squeezes landlords. Industrial buildings and offices beyond the main financial district in Singapore are other potential targets.

Pension funds are also showing more interest in Asian real estate, said Mr Thompson. According to him, these investors are drawn to growing economies with a structural shortage of properties. The economies would also have to be politically stable, with transparent and sound regulatory systems.

‘(Singapore and Australia) are the easiest countries to invest in,’ he said. But he added that China will attract considerable attention.

Across Asia, Mr Thompson believed that ‘the fundamentals for real estate are better than they are in Europe or America’. But because of the global economic slowdown and tighter credit, property values in Asia will continue to fall.

Savills Singapore predicted in a report on Thursday that prices for high-end and super-luxury private homes could drop more than 20 per cent in the next five quarters.

The property consultant also estimated that Grade A office rents could ease 5 to 10 per cent in Q4 this year and a another 15 to 20 per cent next year.


The greening of JTC’s industrial estates

Source : Business Times - 22 Nov 2008

Paya Lebar iPark is leading the way with greater openness and accessibility

WITH concrete buildings, high fences and heavy trucks going in and out, industrial parks tend to have a drab image. But JTC Corporation aims to change that, starting with Paya Lebar iPark (PLiP) - an industrial estate with green open spaces and specially designed buildings.

The 15-hectare PLiP is a pilot project that reflects JTC’s take on industrial parks in the 21st century. The corporation’s iPark 21 initiative aims to make industrial estates more attractive by incorporating work, learn and play elements. ‘Young people going into the workforce . . . they want something different,’ says JTC’s director of industrial park development Tang Wai Yee.

Managed by JTC, PLiP comprises 20 land parcels with leases of up to 30+30 years; 17 have been taken up. There are plans to acquire three more plots to expand PLiP about 10 per cent.

A key feature of the estate is greenery, with 15 per cent of PLiP landscaped so far. This includes trees and shrubs put in place by JTC and other companies under design guidelines.

To enhance a sense of openness and accessibility, plots within the estate are not separated by fences. And to minimise clutter, companies should locate loading and unloading bays away from the main road or hide them with landscaping.

Complying with these guidelines does not mean higher costs because companies are aware of them from the start and will incorporate them into building design, says Ms Tang; in fact, companies are ‘very happy’ because the guidelines ensure consistency in park design. Some are even taking the initiative to give their buildings a more modern look - through the extensive use of glass, for example.

Of the three parcels left in PLiP, one is a Business 2 white site for commercial use such as food-and-beverage outlets. Located in the centre of PLiP, it can be linked to the upcoming MRT station via an underpass. Because of its strategic location, the site could be PLiP’s networking hotspot. JTC hopes to tender it out next year to add buzz to the estate.

‘Generally, industrial developments that incorporate lifestyle features will be an added draw for companies,’ says Knight Frank’s head of industrial business space, Lim Kien Kim. Such features improve the working environment and help attract more skilled workers, he believes.

Sites in PLiP have a plot ratio of 2.5 for relatively high-density facilities. This is why PLiP has attracted companies in light manufacturing and lifestyle-related sectors such as shoe retailer Charles & Keith, air-conditioning provider Natural Cool Holdings and Luxasia Distribution Services. PLiP also houses the print media hub, a centre that brings different companies in the printing value chain under the same roof.

PLiP’s location and design led Charles & Keith to set up its headquarters there. ‘I like to give my colleagues a good working environment,’ says company founder Charles Wong. The premises also boost the firm’s image when it comes to recruiting staff or meeting overseas partners, he reckons. ‘I think the urban design guidelines are good. The area looks like an international business park.’

Landlords in such a modern industrial park can benefit from higher rents, says Knight Frank’s Mr Lim. For PLiP, JTC charges land rent of $45.92 per square metre (psm) per annum, or an upfront premium of $759 psm on a 30-year lease.

Beyond PLiP, JTC will extend its iPark 21 concept to other estates. ‘We are looking for suitable sites for the second park,’ says Ms Tang. And industrial estates undergoing redevelopment, such as those at Tukang, will incorporate the new elements where possible.


More 2 and 3 room HDB flats to be built in the next few months

Source : Channel NewsAsia - 22 Nov 2008

The construction and upgrading of HDB flats will be a major project in the months ahead. The National Development Ministry said these are ongoing projects which will not be affected by the economy.

Construction costs may have gone up but so has the demand for public housing.

National Development Minister Mah Bow Tan said: “The mix of the new flats that we’re building will change from the bigger flats now to the smaller flats that we will continue to build.”

The National Development Ministry said it intends to build more housing especially two and three room flats. This is to cope with the expected rising demand from Singaporeans hit by the economic downturn.

The ministry said 1,000 two- to three-room flats will be offered under the Build To Order (BTO) scheme this year.

Some 2,000 more such flats will be offered annually over the next few years depending on demand.

Mr Mah continued: “I think the current priority is to help the lower income. Because I foresee that the economic situation will start to impact the lower income more at this point in time.

“This year, we’re building about 8,000 new flats. Close to 1,000 of them can be for the 2- and 3-room flats. So it’s quite a high proportion.

“When someone is in financial difficulty, he wants to downgrade, sometimes they ask for a rental flat. Our position is that HDB rental flats are only for the very needy. So if you’re downgrading and you need some cash, I would rather that we help you to move into a smaller flat, but a flat that you own rather than a flat that you keep renting.”

Mr Mah said some five to ten per cent of Singaporeans are in the lower income group and the Ministry will ensure there are enough new rental flats for them.

Although the Ministry encourages home ownership, it recognises that rental flats may be the best option for some lower income Singaporeans.


Friday, November 21, 2008

Office space returns seen in year ahead

Source : Business Times - 21 Nov 2008

Savills Singapore reckons that some 450,000 square feet of Grade A office space - or 3.5 per cent of existing space in this sector - could be returned by tenants in the next 12 months.

The financial upheaval in the US and Europe will inevitably lead to consolidation in the financial services industry that could lead to companies shedding excess space, the property consultancy firm said in a report yesterday. This space could make its way into the market either as tenants return it to landlords or try to sub-let it themselves.

Market watchers say that space released by existing tenants will exacerbate the supply glut that is expected to emerge, as almost nine million sq ft of Central Business District office space is completed over the next four years. Of this, at least 80 per cent will be Grade A.

In its report, Savills said that the average Grade A asking monthly rent in Singapore slipped 1.2 per cent quarter-on-quarter in Q3 2008 - the first decline in four years.

The figure fell from a high of $15.10 per square foot (psf) in Q2 this year to $14.92 psf in Q3.

The decline was on a 3.3 per cent drop in asking rent in Tanjong Pagar and a 0.91 per cent drop in the Orchard area. But asking rents held firm in Q3 for Raffles Place, City Hall/Marina Bay and Beach Road/Middle Road. And in Shenton Way, they actually rose 2.2 per cent.

‘Many landlords have become more realistic in their asking rents, and are more open to incentives (for example, longer rent-free periods, free car-parking) to attract and retain quality tenants,’ Savills said.

It predicts that Grade A office rents are likely to ease 5 to 10 per cent in Q4 this year and a further 15-20 per cent in 2009 as demand weakens.

The average Grade A office capital value slid 4.3 per cent quarter-on-quarter to $2,680 psf in Q3. This is the first drop in three years.


Savills sees over 20% drop in luxury home prices

Source : Business Times - 21 Nov 2008

Announced forecast for period ending 2009 grimmest yet by any consultancy

Savills Singapore is predicting price drops of more than 20 per cent in the next five quarters for high-end and super-luxury private homes.

This would follow declines of 14.3 per cent and 12 per cent respectively for these two segments in the first nine months of 2008 from the peak in Q4 last year.

The forecast is probably the grimmest announced by a property consultancy here - although some rival firms BT spoke to yesterday said that privately, they have similar estimates.

Research analysts at stockbroking houses/banks have already been making downbeat pronouncements, predicting declines of about 30 per cent or more for luxury home prices byl end-2009.

In its report yesterday, Savills said that the high-end and super luxury segments are more vulnerable to the deteriorating global investment climate. The average capital value for high-end (non-landed) residential homes fell to $2,065 per square foot in Q3 2008, 4.6 per cent lower than the preceding quarter and 14.3 per cent below the Q4 2007 peak of $2,410 psf.

In the super luxury league, the average capital value slipped to $3,240.40 psf in Q3, down 5.2 per cent from the preceding quarter and 12 per cent lower than the Q4 2007 figure.

Savills expects mass- market home prices to fall 5 to 8 per cent in the next five quarters - arguing that a price drop in this segment will be cushioned by continued support from HDB upgraders and other buyers picking up private homes for their own occupation.

The fundamentals of the mid-tier and mass-market segments are stronger today than during the Asian Crisis downturn, partly due to Singapore’s more open immigration policy, Savills said.

Permanent residents have accounted for 14.3 per cent of private home purchases (excluding ECs) in the first nine months of this year, up from a 12 per cent share in 2004. PRs are likely to become a strong demand driver in the residential market in the coming months, Savills reckons.

Foreigners (including PRs) had 24.8 per cent share of private home purchases (including ECs) in the first nine months of 2008, down from a 25.9 per cent share for the whole of last year but still ahead of sub-20 per cent shares between 2000 and 2004.

In Q3 2008, a total of 4,287 caveats were lodged for private homes (including ECs), covering both primary and secondary markets - 9 per cent higher than the 3,934 caveats lodged in the preceding quarter.

However, the total value of private homes transacted edged up only slightly to $5.68 billion in Q3 from $5.62 billion in Q2.

‘The average value of each unit transacted decreased, as evidenced by the very successful sales at mass market projects such as Livia and Clover by the Park. The proportion of transactions in the luxury and super luxury sectors dropped compared with mass market, as rich investors were more cautious about big-ticket purchases,’ said Savills’ director of marketing and business development Ku Swee Yong.

The average monthly rental value for high-end non-landed homes tracked by Savills contracted for the second consecutive quarter, slipping 3.6 per cent quarter-on-quarter to $5.62 psf in Q3.

This followed a 1.2 per cent drop in Q2. ‘For full- year 2008, we expect prime rents to ease 4 to 6 per cent and fall a further 7 to 13 per cent in 2009,’ Mr Ku said.

Tenants may now seek more competitive rentals, softening the market.

‘So far, the impact on the local rental market has been limited, despite rents beginning to come off their peaks. The quarters ahead, however, should see a more entrenched rental decline as demand weakens in the face of a global economic slowdown,’ Mr Ku said.

Savills also said that 10,923 leasing deals were recorded for private homes (excluding ECs) in the July to September quarter this year, the highest Q3 figure since 2000.

The leasing volume for Q3 2008 was up about 20 per cent from the preceding quarter and 25 per cent above the figure in the same period a year ago.

The strong leasing volume may have been contributed by a seasonally active Q3 that coincides with the opening semester of some international schools, as well as displaced tenants from collective sales completed last year, downgrading from high rental units to more affordable ones, and completion of new projects with attractive facilities and competitive rents.

However, Savills expects rental demand drivers to weaken in coming quarters. Savills’ residential leasing head Patrick Lai says: ‘The inflow of expats is expected to slow down, although we’re still seeing an influx of foreign talent into Singapore, particularly in the healthcare, pharmaceutical, R&D and logistics industries.’


Private home rents may fall 15%

Source : Straits Times 21 Nov 2008

Selling prices of top-end units could drop by up to 22% in months ahead

PRIVATE home rents in Singapore are set to drop by up to 15 per cent next year, as the reality of a slowing economy hits home.

Property consultants say landlords are expected to become more flexible, given factors such as ongoing job cuts.

In a report released yesterday, Savills Singapore said the onset of a technical recession, coupled with a weaker employment market and slower expatriate arrivals, will contribute to the fall in rents.

So far, the impact on the local rental market has been limited despite rents beginning to come off their peaks, it said.

‘The quarters ahead should, however, see a more entrenched rental decline as demand weakens in the face of a global economic slowdown,’ said the report.

Given that the full force of the financial crisis erupted in mid-September, the rental property market has yet to feel the full impact, Savills Singapore said. In terms of top-of-the-market rents, known as prime rents, it expects a fall of 7 to 13 per cent next year.

Another consultancy, Knight Frank, is projecting a bigger fall of 10 to 15 per cent in average islandwide rents next year.

The Urban Redevelopment Authority recorded a 0.9 per cent dip in private home rents in the third quarter, the first fall after 17 quarters of growth.

‘Some landlords are already cutting rents to retain tenants. We may see more aggressive cuts by landlords if more multinational companies cut their headcounts,’ said Knight Frank’s director of research and consultancy, Mr Nicholas Mak.

However, Savills Singapore’s associate director of residential sales, Mr Patrick Lai, believes the fall in rents will not be big as there is still stable demand.

‘There is still a steady number of expatriates coming in as Asia, particularly Singapore and Hong Kong, is where companies want to be now. To put it bluntly, we are benefiting from the meltdown in other parts of the world,’ he said.

However, rents are more negotiable now as tenants have more choice, said Mr Lai.

This quarter, new supply entering the market includes the second tower of The Sail @ Marina Bay with 681 units, the 173-unit St Regis Residences and the 110-unit Paterson Residence, Savills Singapore said.

Next year, landlords in prime areas will have to contend with even more competition as more condos are completed.

Also, most expats are now on local terms, or arrange their own leases, and they usually do not want to use all their rental budget, said Mr Lai.

A property agent specialising in expat rents said she has not completed any rental deals since October.

‘Last year, I was busy throughout the year. This year, it started to slow from January. It is so quiet now,’ she said.

‘Those who have advertised for a few months are willing to lower their asking rents but many others continue to hold on to the same asking levels.’

A renovated 1,650 sq ft unit at Pinewood Gardens at Balmoral Park is now available at $6,000 a month or $3.64 per sq ft - already lower than most other done deals at the development - but a potential tenant is willing to take it at only $5,000 a month or $3.03 psf, she said.

In a separate report, Savills Singapore said it expects prices of high-end and super-luxury homes - which are more vulnerable to the deteriorating global investment climate - to fall 22 per cent from the current quarter until the end of next year. Islandwide, the decline in sale prices over the same period is placed at a smaller 10 to 15 per cent, as mass-market homes catering mostly to upgraders should see a limited price fall.

Rental yields, however, have risen as the fall in rents is smaller than the fall in prices, said Mr Ku Swee Yong of Savills Singapore.

Knight Frank’s Mr Mak added: ‘Residential rents have moved up very fast in the past three years and they could come down just as fast.’

POOR BUSINESS

‘Last year, I was busy throughout the year. This year, it started to slow from January. It is so quiet now.’ - A property agent specialising in expat rentals


Thursday, November 20, 2008

Kaplan to open second campus in Orchard Road area by end-2009

Source : Channel NewsAsia - 20 Nov 2008

Kaplan will set up a second city campus in the Orchard Road area by the end of 2009.

The school said the 20,000 square-foot campus will cater to some 5,000 students. It expects 40 per cent of the intake to be international students.

Kaplan opened eight campuses in mainland China in 2008.

The new campus in Singapore will cater to students who are expected to complete their final year of study here.

In a recent study conducted by the Hong Kong Institute of Education involving 1,400 students, nearly 26 per cent of students in Kuala Lumpur preferred to study in Singapore, while 17.5 per cent picked Hong Kong.

This is good news for Singapore as it is beginning to attract more foreign schools.

Just recently, Curtin University of Technology announced it will open a new campus in Singapore in December.

But will the economic gloom cause fewer students to take up subjects like finance?

Mark Coggins, president, Asia Pacific, Kaplan, said: “Inevitably, the demand for training will deteriorate. However, looking at the long term in a particular sector, there will be a pick-up when people recognise there’s a need for improvement in risk management and regulatory environment. And perhaps by the end of 2009 and (into) 2010, we’ll get some improvement.”

Recently Singapore officials revealed that one out of two Singaporeans who apply to study at the three government universities get at least one offer. However, that still leaves out 50 per cent of students who have to rely on private education.

Kaplan also has plans to further expand its presence in Vietnam and China.


Charging premium rent in Tokyo getting harder

Source : Business Times - 20 Nov 2008

Seeking higher rents from tenants moving into new buildings has become ‘difficult’ amid the economic slowdown resulting from the credit crisis, said Mitsubishi Estate Co, Japan’s largest developer by market value.

The owner of about 30 buildings in areas adjacent to Tokyo Station, Japan’s most expensive business district, earned record operating profit on rising leasing income for a third straight year for the period ended March.

It was projecting a fourth year of record profits until the credit crisis struck, prompting a forecast cut on Oct 31.

‘It is unclear how long the economic slowdown will affect Japan’s property market,’ Toyohisa Miyauchi, executive vice-president of Mitsubishi Estate, said. ‘While we will continue to raise rents for existing tenants, we are seeing a softening in the market for new tenants.’

Before credit markets ground to a halt, the highest monthly rent agreed upon for new buildings in the area was 80,000 per tsubo (S$382 per square metre), for the Marunouchi Park Building, a 34-storey commercial tower set for April completion.

London has the world’s highest office rents, followed by Moscow and Tokyo, according to a May report by CB Richard Ellis Inc, the world’s largest commercial brokerage.

The highest rents obtained for the Marunouchi Park Building would lift Tokyo to second place after the yen’s 8.4 per cent appreciation against the US dollar since May 31.

The commercial real estate market has since weakened, with Tokyo office vacancies rising to a three-year high in October, as companies cut spending and Japan’s economy has fallen into recession.

The Topix Real Estate Index is the worst performer among 33 industry groups this month, having dropped 24 per cent.

‘The vacancy rate is going up in Tokyo. That’s one signal for us to reduce our holdings of some large real estate stocks,’ said Yuichi Chiguchi, who helps manage about US$8.6 billion in assets at DIAM Co in Tokyo. ‘We have to admit demand is slowing down in the office property market.’

Mitsubishi Estate shares fell 3.4 per cent, or 44 yen, to close at 1,236, taking the decline over the last six months to 57 per cent.

Mitsubishi Estate expects an increase in leasing income for the year ending March 2010, after the completion of the Marunouchi Park Building. The developer is trying to attract tenants that will be relatively insulated from the current slowdown, such as law firms, accountants, and merger and acquisition consulting companies, Mr Miyauchi said.

‘There will always be companies that are financially sound even in a downturn.’


High-end, super luxury home prices slip in Q3: Savills

Source : Business Times - 20 Nov 2008

Prices of high-end non-landed private homes continued to slide for a third consecutive quarter.

In Q3 2008, the average price for high-end and super luxury residential homes stood at $2,065 per square foot and $3,240 psf respectively, reflecting declines of 14.3 per cent and 12.0 per cent respectively since the beginning of this year, according to a report by Savills Singapore.

Island-wide, the latest official private residential price index from the Urban Redevelopment Authority showed its first sign of weakness, with a drop of 2.4 per cent after seventeen quarters of positive growth.

Compared with the previous quarter, islandwide landed home private prices slipped 1.9 per cent quarter-on-quarter.

Non-landed home prices in Core Central Region, Rest of Central Region and Outside Central Region declined 2.7 per cent, 2.4 per cent and 1.5 per cent respectively.

‘In the wake of weakening sentiment, further downward pressure on prices across the board is expected for the next three quarters,’ Savills said.

The property consultancy also said that rents for high-end non-landed private homes that it tracks fell for the second consecutive quarter, slipping 3.6 per cent quarter-on-quarter to $5.62 psf per month in Q3, as more prime projects entered the market after receiving Temporary Occupation Permit.


Falling prices scuttle couple’s ‘reverse loan’

Source : New Paper - 20 Nov 2008

Plan was to unlock value of semi-D home & get cash every month. But now they are forced to sell & repay balance of loan

THEY once lived in this 350-sq-m semi-detached, house along Upper Serangoon Road.

Then an outstanding home loan forced them to sell it and the elderly couple now live in a rented HDB flat.

Madam Ng, 56, recounted how they had to vacate their landed property, where they had lived for 31 years.

She now works in the sales line. She spoke on condition that we use only her surname.

She said that her husband, who is in his 70s, gets upset whenever the topic is brought up.

The financing scheme seemed like a safe bet to the couple back in 1997.

They were to receive $2,000 a month from NTUC Income under its newly-launched reverse mortgage scheme.

But things soured when the valuation of their house dropped substantially and they were forced to sell their house in 2006 to repay the loan.

Ironic twist

What’s more, the couple now have to pay Income about $630 a month over 10 years to cover the balance outstanding on the loan.

Madam Ng still has newspaper clippings of the scheme back then. It was mooted by the government to provide another option for older owners to get some income from their homes, without having to move out.

NTUC Income’s website says of its reverse mortgage scheme: ‘Unlock the cash value of your home. Provides regular cash for retirees.’

It offers an income stream for cash-poor but asset-rich retirees, who can use their houses as security for a loan dispensed in monthly cash payouts.

Madam Ng attended a seminar by Income in 1997 which was held in an auditorium.

The loan worked like this: Their property was valued at $2.1 million. Income could lend them up to 80 per cent of the valuation or about $1.68 million.

This 80 per cent loan amount is also known as the loan-to-value limit.

Income also settled an overdraft of $495,000 which the couple had taken from a bank, using the house as collateral.

Then taking into account Madam Ng’s husband’s life expectancy, the property value and the interest rate of 5.9 per cent per annum at that point, Income calculated that he would be paid $2,000 a month at that point.

Madam Ng said they signed up for the scheme a few days after attending the talk.

The letter of offer did not state the number of years they would receive the monthly payments, as this depended on many factors that could change.

Payment based on property market

The couple’s understanding from the talk, and from the two officers they met when the deal was signed, was that Income would adjust the monthly payment accordingly when the property market went up or down, said Madam Ng.

They received the $2,000 monthly until 2004, when Income informed them that they were approaching the 80 per cent limit - as their property value had dropped sharply.

Income reduced their payout to $1,750 in August that year.

‘After that, the amount dropped every few months, to $1,500, then $1,250, then $1,000, until it finally hit $300,’ said Madam Ng.

The reason was that the valuation of the house had dropped. This had been explained to the couple earlier.

In June 2006, Income’s lawyer said in a letter that the loan amount due had ‘exceeded 80 per cent of the market value’.

The payments stopped from July 2006.

Madam Ng said she was told by Income that the valuation was about $1.1 million at that time.

Income calculated that the couple owed almost $1.05 million. This included the $495,000 which Income had paid earlier to clear their overdraft, plus the monthly payouts they had received and the compounded interest on these payouts.

As the couple did not have the means to repay the loan, they agreed to move out in August and sell the property.

Madam Ng said she had hoped the property market would pick up. But no one could tell when the market would turn around.

‘We desperately tried to sell the house on our own, but the highest offer we had was $900,000. We had no choice but to move out,’ she recalled.

Income eventually found a buyer who paid $1.05 million in November 2006.

Then in July last year, Income wrote to them stating that there was still a shortfall of almost $55,000.

It allowed them to pay in instalments - $250 a month for the first year and $630 thereafter for the next nine years.

Madam Ng said she deeply regretted not selling the property in 1997. But, at that time, they wanted to both keep the house and get regular cash payments.

Like others who had overextended themselves, the couple was hurt by the bursting of the property bubble.

If property values had kept rising, they could have sold the house, paid off the loan and have enough left over to buy a smaller home.

But when values dived, there was not enough to even pay off the loan.

‘This was the worst financial decision we have ever made,’ said Madam Ng.

Adjusting to the situation

The couple and their son, who is in his 30s, have since been moving from one place to another, either staying with close relatives or renting flats.

Madam Ng did not have to work previously, but she now works part-time trying to make ends meet.

While her husband, who had already retired when he took up the scheme, began driving a taxi at first.

He now takes on any odd jobs he can get.

FALLING VALUE

Feb 1997: Couple sign up for reverse mortgage scheme. They receive $2,000 a month.

Aug 2004: Monthly payout drops to $1,750 as property value has fallen and loan is reaching ceiling of 80% of valuation

July 2006: Couple get last payout of $300.

Aug 2006: Couple and their son move out of their house.

Nov 2006: Property is sold for $1.05m.

Jul 2007: Amount not enough to cover loan, shortfall of $55,000. Couple must pay $250 a month for a year and $630 a month for nine years to pay off their outstanding loan.


Income: Couple only ones to hit trigger point

Source : New Paper - 20 Nov 2008

Their failure to cooperate made things difficult: insurer

MADAM Ng and her husband were the only reverse mortgage customers who had exceeded the 80 per cent loan-to-valuation threshold.

NTUC Income said that two other loan accounts were close to the threshold in 2004.

One customer found his own buyer and the sale proceeds were more than enough to cover the loan amount.

Another customer arranged for his children to take over the property and refinanced the loan with another bank.

Income added that Madam Ng and her family were never evicted when repayment was due. The insurer had tried all means to assist them.

Mr Jeffrey Lee, Income’s senior vice-president and chief financial officer, said: ‘The failure by the customer to cooperate made the situation difficult for both parties.

‘In this difficult situation, we would like to point out that the borrowers were never evicted. Ultimately, we had to make the difficult decision to regain the property.’

The trigger point is when the money lent hits the ceiling stated by the insurer - the valuation ratio.

In May 2004, when the ratio was nearing 80 per cent, Income wrote to the couple about the need to reduce the monthly advances.

‘At that point in time, the customer indicated that he would be selling the property,’ said Mr Lee.

‘When the borrower and his wife met up with our loan managers around June 2004, we went above and beyond our obligations and discussed options to help with their financial situation.’

Mr Lee said the options included an offer of employment to Madam Ng and her son, who had recently graduated, as well as suggestions to let out a room at the property.

But these were turned down, he said.

Income wrote to Madam Ng’s husband between January and June 2005 to inform him that the valuation ratio had exceeded 80 per cent and requested for an update on the sale of the property.

It sent more letters between November 2005 and May 2006, Mr Lee said.

‘These repeated requests from NTUC Income drew a blank and sometimes, a muted response,’ he added.

The property was surrendered in August 2006 - two years after the borrower had indicated he would sell it and after Income’s lawyers had sent him a letter.

‘In approaching this case, we would like to emphasise that we exercised great patience in working with the borrower,’ Mr Lee said.

On the borrowers’ claims that they were lay people who were only made to understand simple terms, Mr Lee pointed out that its legal firm which handles its reverse mortgage transactions ‘makes it a practice to explain all terms and conditions to borrowers’.

Mr Lee said that in every instance, it will inform the borrowers about the value of the property with respect to the market price.

And when the valuation ratio is exceeded, Income takes ‘extreme care to explain the various options to the borrowers’.

These include the borrower selling the property, renting out the property to make up for the shortfall in payments or the possibility of their children taking over the loan.

Mr Lee said: ‘In sum, we try to be fair in all our dealings with customers. We also take a long-term view, as evident in the above instance.’

He added that as a social enterprise, Income will extend a helping hand to special cases that are genuine and unfortunate.

Madam Ng said the family was reluctant to sell the house earlier as it would not yield enough money to buy another place.

As for the job offers, Madam Ng said she went for an interview with Income but was not successful in meeting the requirements.

Her son was offered a commission-based job as a financial planner but did not take it up as he got a contract job which had a more stable income.

Madam Ng did not want to rent out a room as her house was old and she would have had to spend money for furnishings.


Experts hope for stimulus package for property market in Budget

Source : Channel NewsAsia - 20 Nov 2008

Property watchers and players in Singapore are increasingly hoping for some help from the government to boost the sluggish residential sector.

New private home sales this year look set to hit their lowest levels since the 1997 Asian financial cisis. And the outlook is weak, amid the global downturn.

Only 3,900 new private homes have been sold year to date. Property watchers said this could be the first time in 11 years that sales for the year totalled below 5,000.

Consultants from Chesterton Suntec International pointed out that property advertisements have come down to a trickle, a signal that developers recognise that buyers will not be easily persuaded. This situation is unlikely to change before the year runs out.

Property agents said they are hoping for some market stimulus in the upcoming Budget announcement, while developers said they want some help in cushioning the impact of a poor market.

“We’re looking forward to the government’s proposed Budget in January for stimulus package, a package that could revive the activity in the residential property market,” said Donald Han, managing director of Cushman & Wakefield.

This could be in the form of reviving schemes that have helped the market in the past.

Han said: “One of them obviously is for the return of deferred payment. We’re also looking to any reduction in rental levels. Property tax rebates could come from landlords to tenants to reduce occupancy costs.

“You’ll see some measures in the past which address downturn period, a cycle like what we’re experiencing right now.”

Developers are also hoping for a reversion on new rules like earlier stamp duty payments, and the way the development charge is calculated. They said property tax concessions for vacant land as well as rebates for office buildings would also help.

Colin Tan, the head of Research and Consultancy from Chesterton Suntec International said deferred payment is already available on most projects currently on sale, and without it, projects coming on in 2009 and 2010 may see even weaker sale conditions.

However, some analysts said the government may have other priorities on its plate.

“We saw about 3 or 4 years of very active transactions and price action in the property market, so some degree of consolidation is healthy. In that sense, maybe we should be looking for stabilisation instead of further stimulation,” said Tai Hui, regional economic research head of Southeast Asia at Standard Chartered Bank.

Some argued that for now, the bigger picture may be more important.

David Cohen, director of Asian Economic Forecasting at Action Economics said: “More important than any fine-tuning in the tax system will be the timing of turnaround in global activity which Singapore doesn’t really have a control over.”

The Budget will be announced in January next year.


URA gives sales details for 2 Reserve List sites

Source : Business Times - 20 Nov 2008

Dakota Crescent plot is for residential project, Seletar Rd site for mixed development

The Urban Redevelopment Authority (URA) has released sales details for two Reserve List sites - at Dakota Crescent and Seletar Road.

The Dakota Crescent plot is for a residential development. The Seletar Road site is for a mixed commercial and residential development.

The 1.7 ha Dakota Crescent plot is near the future Singapore Sports Hub and the Dakota Crescent MRT station, which is under construction.

The 2.1 ha Seletar Road site is within the established residential area at Seletar Hills and near the future Seletar Aerospace Park.

Knight Frank expects that at today’s auction the Dakota Crescent site could fetch bids of $170-$200 per square foot per plot ratio (psf ppr) and the Seletar Road could see interest at $120-$150 psf ppr.

But Knight Frank’s head of research and consultancy Nicholas Mak said: ‘Even with the favourable location, the probability that developers will trigger the Dakota Crescent site for tender is slim.

If triggered and launched for sale, it is expected that the launch price for the proposed development will be $650-$680 psf.’

Mr Mak reckons there will be limited interest in the Seletar Road site. ‘Developers are generally very cautious and are seeking well-located sites with significant growth potential,’ he said.

A nearby comparable for the proposed development is Seletar Springs Condominium. Mr Mak believes the average selling price for new units in a future condominium could be $530-$570 psf if launched in 2009 or later.

Several Government Land Sale sites have not been awarded this year, reflecting poor market sentiment. Sites at Tampines Avenue 1/Avenue 10, Ten Mile Junction and Westwood Avenue were not awarded because bids were too low. More recently, an executive condominium site in Punggol failed to attract a single bid.

DTZ Research senior director Chua Chor Hoon said: ‘The property market has worsened a lot more since the Lehman Brothers’ collapse. It is unlikely there would be any trigger for these sites until sentiment improves and the tight credit situation eases.’

Savills Singapore director of marketing and business development Ku Swee Yong said he does not expect to see any site triggered until Q2 2009 when the global credit crunch could start to ease.

‘Developers who are still keen would need to be backed up by banks with credit for the land, and then the projected construction cost,’ he said.


Retail rents: S’pore keeps 4th spot in Asia”

Source : Straits Times - 20 Nov 2008

SINGAPORE is still the fourth most expensive centre for retail rents in Asia, though its global ranking has slid a couple of notches given faster rises elsewhere, a new survey has found.

The Republic fell to 16th position globally from 14th last year, according to the survey by consultancy Cushman & Wakefield.

Rents in Orchard Road, Singapore’s premier shopping belt, rose 9.3 per cent in the year ended June 30 from $42 per sq ft per month to $45.90.

But because of US dollar movements, that is reflected in the survey as a 25 per cent jump from US$325 psf per year to US$405.

CB Richard Ellis put out a similar report yesterday, which placed Singapore in 22nd spot in the world’s fastest growing destinations for retail rents.

The market today, however, is changing fast in the light of the global financial crisis. Singapore is seeing lower tourist arrivals. Retail sales, excluding motor vehicles, have started to dip.

A number of factors will determine the rate of rental changes for the rest of the year and next year, said Ms Letty Lee, director of retail services at CBRE.

‘The full impact of the financial meltdown on the job market is still unknown. Meanwhile, consumers will remain cautious and may cut spending as a result,’ she said. ‘The financial turmoil will also impact tourism arrivals, which will affect consumer spending. Landlords may be pressured to reduce rentals as a result.’

Still, Cushman & Wakefield’s managing director Donald Han believes that Orchard Road prime rents will be flat next year despite new supply as it is still the first stop for new brands here.

But suburban malls will see a softening of rents, he said.

‘While the weakening economic environment has started to pass through to retail rentals towards the fourth quarter, we believe that the rentals would remain well supported in the medium term by the comparatively undershopped characteristic of the Singapore market,’ said the Cushman & Wakefield report.


Two sites up for sale amid weak market

Source : Straits Times - 20 Nov 2008

THE Urban Redevelopment Authority (URA) is testing the waters by offering two 99-year leasehold sites - one residential and one commercial-residential - for sale.

The sites have been placed on the reserve list, meaning they will be tendered out only if developers indicate sufficient interest.

However, property consultants doubt they will attract much, if any, interest from developers, given the weak market.

Earlier this week, monthly URA data showed that developers managed to sell just 112 units last month, a level comparable to the Sars period in 2003. It also showed that about 50 home buyers did not complete deals last month.

The first site, at Dakota Crescent, is for a residential project with a gross floor area of 647,599 sq ft. It is near the future Singapore Sports Hub and upcoming Dakota MRT station.

The second, at Seletar Road, is for a mixed commercial and residential development with a gross floor area of 226,042 sq ft. It is in a residential area at Seletar Hills near the future Seletar Aerospace Park.

Early this month, the Government cancelled two of three tenders of confirmed sites for the rest of the year. A tender for an executive condo in Punggol went ahead, but this site attracted no bids. With the market hit by the global financial crisis, developers are taking a breather from land banking, said a consultant.

‘The current cautious mood and slow sale activity in the residential market have diminished developers’ appetite for development sites,’ said Mr Nicholas Mak, Knight Frank’s director of research and consultancy.

He said the chances of developers expressing interest to trigger the launch of Dakota Crescent are slim, despite its good location.

He estimates the launch price for a proposed development with up to 550 units at Dakota Crescent at $650 to $680 per sq ft (psf), or a land price of roughly between $170 and $220 psf per plot ratio. The Seletar plot, he said, is estimated at $120 to $150 psf per plot ratio. A condo there could fetch prices of $530 to $570 psf if launched next year and beyond, said Mr Mak.


S’pore is 4th best place to invest in: Poll

Source : Straits Times - 20 Nov 2008

Republic pips rival HK in KPMG’s survey of 260 leading global firms

THE global economy may be slowing, but Singapore has been rated as one of the top four places in the world to invest in during these turbulent times.

A survey by accounting giant KPMG of 260 leading global companies, conducted in September and October across 12 economies, has placed Singapore behind mainland China, the United States and India next year as well as in five years’ time.

The Republic edged out Hong Kong, a long-standing rival for investments.

Among the key factors attracting prospective investors to Singapore are the political stability, the impartial rule of law, a friendly tax regime as well as access to new customers.

Mr Owi Kek Hean, KPMG’s head of tax services in Singapore, said: ‘We wanted to compare and contrast what businesses would like to see from the countries when deciding where to locate their operations.’

This is the first survey by KPMG on the importance of tax and demographics in influencing corporate decisions on location. It also tracked investment intentions of firms over the next five years.

The survey included responses from 20 multinational corporations based in Singapore, each with a turnover of US$1 billion (S$1.5 billion).

Mr Phillip Overmyer, the chief executive of the Singapore International Chamber of Commerce, said of the results: ‘That people are saying this is not earth-shattering, but the importance is in the timing of it.’

He said what is important is that MNCs indicated their intention to invest in the middle of the financial crisis, over the next few years, and also the places they are most inclined to invest in.

‘It confirms that people think Asia is the market of the future, that it will recover very early and it reinforces very strongly that Singapore will play a critical role in this development in Asia as the crisis starts to resolve itself.’

Mr Overmyer said that compared to the three top-rated nations in the survey, Singapore’s standing at No.4 is impressive, given the Republic is not a large market in itself but because of its ‘tremendous capability to support activities on a wide regional basis of MNCs in Asia’.

Mr Owi, who was speaking to The Straits Times on the sidelines of KPMG’s Asia-Pacific Tax Summit at the Ritz-Carlton, Millenia Singapore, said the survey reinforced a few things about what companies want.

‘Businesses would like to see more tax incentives from the government and they also want the government to attract more foreign talent to these shores.’

He said that this is no surprise as Singapore moves from a manufacturing-based economy to a high value-added service- based economy that needs more and more skilled workers.

He added that compared to Hong Kong, Singapore’s headline corporate tax rate is higher, but because the government has targeted tax incentives for various sectors, the effective corporate tax rate for a company could actually be lower than Hong Kong’s.

The survey found that 70 per cent of respondents said the tax regime is an important factor in choosing where to locate their business. Also, half of all respondents indicated that the tax policy of a country is more important than an educated workforce in deciding where to locate their business operations.

The survey also found that 65 per cent of respondents here look to the government to work with them to attract foreign talent. This is unlike in Europe, where companies feel attracting foreign talent is their own responsibility.

Mr Owi said: ‘This shows that the expectation here is for a partnership between the government and companies to bring in foreign talent.’

Bayer Schering Pharma’s Asia-Pacific regional head Chris Lee said: ‘Lower taxes and immigration barriers are only part of a number of factors that make people decide on one place or another.’

He added: ‘Many cities are vying now for talent and offering attractive incentives, so it is important for Singapore to distinguish itself.’


Retail rents under pressure

Source : Today - 20 Nov 2008

Landlords and their retail tenants are seeking the same present from Santa as Christmas approaches - a return to the good times.

The shop tenants are worried that there will be a dip in consumer spending as a result of the economic downturn. Meanwhile they are still paying top dollar for retail space.

While market watchers say they certainly are not expecting rents to rise in the final quarter of this year, some retailers are actually holding out for concessions.

But for the property companies which provide the shops, there is the additional problem of increasing supply. Next year Singapore’s prime shopping district of Orchard Road will welcome four new malls.

Among them is the four-storey Mandarin Gallery which is set for a $200 million facelift. It is due to open next October, with 130,000 sq ft of retail space. Rents there range from $12 to $60 per square foot, and about half of the space has already been leased.

The landlord, Overseas Union Enterprise, says it will find ways to help tenants cope with the tougher business climate, but it says cutting rents may not be the best thing to do.

The others are Orchard Central, due to open in the first quarter of next year, ION (mid-2009), and 313@Somerset, which is set to open by the end of next year.

Many tenants along the shopping belt are locked into their rental rates for up to three years, with the option to negotiate new deals thereafter. And analysts say high-end retailers tend to have the upper hand during such negotiations.

Mr Nicholas Mak, director, consultancy & research, at property firm Knight Frank, said: “If the landlord feels that a tenant is important, a part of the mall’s image that he is trying to build, he may be a bit more flexible in the negotiations.”

With festive shopping ahead, analysts say landlords might prefer to wait a little, but they expect retail rents to drop by 1 per cent this quarter.


S’pore is No 22 globally in retail rent rise

Source : Business Times - 20 Nov 2008

Average super-prime Orchard Road rental up 5.2% at $54.40 psf per month in Q3

THE Republic is among the top 25 cities for rising retail rents, according to the latest global survey by CB Richard Ellis (CBRE).

The average super-prime Orchard Road rent of $54.40 per sq ft (psf) per month in the third quarter of this year was 5.2 per cent higher than $51.70 psf in Q1.

This made Singapore the 22nd fastest-rising retail rent city over the six-month period in local currency terms. In top spot was Tel Aviv, with a 33.3 per cent increase, followed by the Portuguese city of Oporto, Abu Dhabi, Valencia and Lyon. China’s Guangzhou ranked seventh, with a 16.3 per cent rise in rent, Shanghai, ninth with a 12.9 per cent increase and Hong Kong 10th with an 11.1 per cent rise.

In terms of most expensive global retail rents, Singapore inched up from 19th in the Q1 2008 ranking to 17th in the latest ranking. CBRE’s rankings are based on annual retail rents in US dollars psf.

A separate survey by Cushman & Wakefield, also released yesterday but covering a different study period, shows Singapore slipping two positions to emerge as the world’s 16th most expensive location for retail rents in June this year, from 14th in June 2007. The rankings are based on annual rents in US dollars psf.

In Singapore-dollar terms, the monthly Orchard Road rental appreciated 9.3 per cent from $42 psf in June 2007 to $45.90 psf in June this year, said Cushman & Wakefield Singapore’s managing director Donald Han. He predicts that the June figure next year will be flat at around $44-46 psf.

Mr Han acknowledged that competition for tenants is growing, with the expected completion of new Orchard Road malls next year including Ion Orchard, Orchard Central and 313 @ Somerset.

‘The days of new malls here achieving 100 per cent occupancy at least one year before completion are probably behind us,’ he said.

Despite growing competition for tenants, Orchard Road rents will continue to be supported because ‘it is the obvious target for new retail demand, for instance, for new brands entering Singapore’, Mr Han said.

New York’s 5th Avenue retained top spot in Cushman’s latest June 2008 ranking, with annual rent of US$1,850 psf. Hong Kong’s Causeway Bay, with rent of US$1,784 psf, kept its No 2 ranking, followed by Avenue des Champs Elysees in Paris at US$1,134 psf. CBRE’s ranking placed New York, Hong Kong and Moscow in the top three spots.


JTC in second phase of floating storage study

Source : Business Times - 20 Nov 2008

SINGAPORE is pushing ahead to build more oil and petrochemical infrastructure - the latest being floating storage for oil traders - to prepare for the eventual economic rebound and shore up the oil refining and trading activity here.

After a phase one study established that very large floating structures (VLFs) are technically feasible in Singapore waters, JTC Corporation called a tender yesterday for the first part of a phase two study to assess the possible environmental impact.

‘The VLFs will be used for storage of oil and petrochemicals with a quick turnaround time,’ a JTC spokeswoman said yesterday.

Later phase two studies will cover the engineering design, business operating model and security of the VLFs, each of which would store as much oil as a very large crude carrier.

JTC is clearly fast-tracking the VLF plan, even as it aims to award by next month the main construction contract for the estimated $700 million first phase of the Jurong Rock Cavern (JRC), intended more for longer term, or strategic, storage of oil and petrochemicals.

Volatile oil prices and falling demand have hit Singapore refineries and oil trading companies, with the latter complaining that volumes have halved in the past few months. But there are hopes that a recovery could come late next year or in early 2010.

JTC estimates have shown that even with 3.5 million cubic metres of new oil storage added recently by private investors such as Hin Leong Trading and Emirates National Oil Company to Singapore’s existing 4.6 million cu m of storage capacity, there will still be a shortfall of at least three million cu m.

The phase one study showed that for a VLF to be viable, it should have a minimum storage capacity of 300,000 cu m, equivalent to that of a big tanker.

A VLF would comprise two rectangular modules, each measuring 180 m by 80 m by 15 m and with 150,000 cu m of storage capacity. Preliminary cost estimates came to at least $180 million, which is comparable to the cost of onshore storage.

But in terms of land use, the 300,000 cu m VLFs would need only five hectares of foreshore, compared to 20 hectares for a facility built on land.

The VLFs, which could be built in a relatively quick 18-24 months, will complement the underground JRC being built beneath Jurong Island. The main construction contract for JRC phase one - comprising five caverns to hold 1.485 million cu m of crude oil, naphtha, condensate and gas oil - is expected to be awarded ’soon’, with work proper starting next year, the JTC spokeswoman said.

JTC has taken slightly longer than expected to evaluate construction tenders, given JRC’s demanding design and engineering requirements, as the facility will be more than 100 m below ground.

JRC phase one is targeted to be operational by end-2010, with a planned phase two adding a further 1.3 million cu m of storage.


URA opens two sites for tender

Source : Today - 20 Nov 2008

AS THE slump in demand for state land continues, the Urban Redevelopment Authority (URA) opened applications yesterday for two sites on the reserve list.

Prior to yesterday, only one out of the 20 sites on this year’s reserve list on which sites have to receive an acceptable bid to trigger the tender process had been sold.

And analysts Today spoke to expect the latest land parcels at Dakota Crescent and Seletar Road respectively to be similarly left on the shelf for some time.

Said Chesterton SuntecInternational director Colin Tan:”I think URA is just going through the motions … There’s no point talking about (the attributes of) any site now. Everything looks a bit gloomy now.”

Located beside the Geylang River, the 1.7-hectare site at Dakota Crescent designated for residential development sits on the fringe of the city and near the future Singapore Sports Hub. It can generate a maximum permissible gross floor area (GFA) of about 60,164 sq m.

The land parcel at Seletar Road is earmarked for a mixed commercial and residential development. Situated at the junction of Yio Chu Kang Road and Seletar Road, the 2.1 ha site has a maximum permissible GFA of about 29,400 sq m.

The market has turned drastically in recent months. With banks reluctant to lend, developers also face difficulties in offloading properties on their hands amid sluggish sentiments.

As such, any application is unlikely, much less a bid that would meet the URA’s pre-determined and undisclosed level. Said Mr Tan: “I cannot see developers pouring money into something when they are not selling.”

Knight Frank research director Nicholas Mak added that developers are also wary that market conditions would turn worse next year.

Said Mr Mak: “When developers buy sites, they do so based on future demand … At this point in time, the chances of these sites being triggered for tender is slim, at least for the rest of this year. Everybody is expecting a downturn, nobody would be rushing in to buy the land.”

The uncertain market conditions saw the Government put the brakes on its land sales programme on Oct 31. Among other measures, it moved most of the land sites on its confirmed list on which sites are released for tender without the need for a price trigger to the reserve list.

In addition to the Dakota Crescent and Seletar Road sites, four more sites on the reserve list are due to be made available for sale by the end of the year.

Responding to Today’s queries on whether it expects to receive any bids for the Dakota Crescent and Seletar Road sites, a URA spokesman said the Government “does not speculate on the bids to be received for the Reserve List sites”. She reiterated that the reserve list system was a “market-led approach whereby a site will only be released for sale if an interested party submits an application with a minimum price that is acceptable to the Government”.


S’pore is No 22 globally in retail rent rise

Source : Business Times - 20 Nov 2008

The Republic is among the top 25 cities for rising retail rents, according to the latest global survey by CB Richard Ellis (CBRE).

The average super-prime Orchard Road rent of $54.40 per sq ft (psf) per month in the third quarter of this year was 5.2 per cent higher than $51.70 psf in Q1.

This made Singapore the 22nd fastest-rising retail rent city over the six-month period in local currency terms. In top spot was Tel Aviv, with a 33.3 per cent increase, followed by the Portuguese city of Oporto, Abu Dhabi, Valencia and Lyon. China’s Guangzhou ranked seventh, with a 16.3 per cent rise in rent, Shanghai, ninth with a 12.9 per cent increase and Hong Kong 10th with an 11.1 per cent rise.

In terms of most expensive global retail rents, Singapore inched up from 19th in the Q1 2008 ranking to 17th in the latest ranking. CBRE’s rankings are based on annual retail rents in US dollars psf.

A separate survey by Cushman & Wakefield, also released yesterday but covering a different study period, shows Singapore slipping two positions to emerge as the world’s 16th most expensive location for retail rents in June this year, from 14th in June 2007. The rankings are based on annual rents in US dollars psf.

In Singapore-dollar terms, the monthly Orchard Road rental appreciated 9.3 per cent from $42 psf in June 2007 to $45.90 psf in June this year, said Cushman & Wakefield Singapore’s managing director Donald Han. He predicts that the June figure next year will be flat at around $44-46 psf.

Mr Han acknowledged that competition for tenants is growing, with the expected completion of new Orchard Road malls next year including Ion Orchard, Orchard Central and 313 @ Somerset.

‘The days of new malls here achieving 100 per cent occupancy at least one year before completion are probably behind us,’ he said.

Despite growing competition for tenants, Orchard Road rents will continue to be supported because ‘it is the obvious target for new retail demand, for instance, for new brands entering Singapore’, Mr Han said.

New York’s 5th Avenue retained top spot in Cushman’s latest June 2008 ranking, with annual rent of US$1,850 psf. Hong Kong’s Causeway Bay, with rent of US$1,784 psf, kept its No 2 ranking, followed by Avenue des Champs Elysees in Paris at US$1,134 psf.

CBRE’s ranking placed New York, Hong Kong and Moscow in the top three spots.


S’pore is No 22 globally in retail rent rise

Source : Business Times - 20 Nov 2008

The Republic is among the top 25 cities for rising retail rents, according to the latest global survey by CB Richard Ellis (CBRE).

The average super-prime Orchard Road rent of $54.40 per sq ft (psf) per month in the third quarter of this year was 5.2 per cent higher than $51.70 psf in Q1.

This made Singapore the 22nd fastest-rising retail rent city over the six-month period in local currency terms. In top spot was Tel Aviv, with a 33.3 per cent increase, followed by the Portuguese city of Oporto, Abu Dhabi, Valencia and Lyon. China’s Guangzhou ranked seventh, with a 16.3 per cent rise in rent, Shanghai, ninth with a 12.9 per cent increase and Hong Kong 10th with an 11.1 per cent rise.

In terms of most expensive global retail rents, Singapore inched up from 19th in the Q1 2008 ranking to 17th in the latest ranking. CBRE’s rankings are based on annual retail rents in US dollars psf.

A separate survey by Cushman & Wakefield, also released yesterday but covering a different study period, shows Singapore slipping two positions to emerge as the world’s 16th most expensive location for retail rents in June this year, from 14th in June 2007. The rankings are based on annual rents in US dollars psf.

In Singapore-dollar terms, the monthly Orchard Road rental appreciated 9.3 per cent from $42 psf in June 2007 to $45.90 psf in June this year, said Cushman & Wakefield Singapore’s managing director Donald Han. He predicts that the June figure next year will be flat at around $44-46 psf.

Mr Han acknowledged that competition for tenants is growing, with the expected completion of new Orchard Road malls next year including Ion Orchard, Orchard Central and 313 @ Somerset.

‘The days of new malls here achieving 100 per cent occupancy at least one year before completion are probably behind us,’ he said.

Despite growing competition for tenants, Orchard Road rents will continue to be supported because ‘it is the obvious target for new retail demand, for instance, for new brands entering Singapore’, Mr Han said.

New York’s 5th Avenue retained top spot in Cushman’s latest June 2008 ranking, with annual rent of US$1,850 psf. Hong Kong’s Causeway Bay, with rent of US$1,784 psf, kept its No 2 ranking, followed by Avenue des Champs Elysees in Paris at US$1,134 psf.

CBRE’s ranking placed New York, Hong Kong and Moscow in the top three spots.


Wednesday, November 19, 2008

Retail rents flattens as consumer spending slows

Source : Channel NewsAsia - 19 Nov 2008

The dip in consumer spending due to the economic downturn has caused concerns among many retailers who are paying top dollar for retail space.

Market watchers said they do not expect any rental growth in the 4th quarter, but some retailers may be holding out for concessions.

Orchard Road, Singapore’s prime shopping district, is set to welcome four new malls next year - ION Orchard, 313@Somerset, Orchard Central and The Mandarin Gallery.

Orchard Central is expected to open in the first quarter of next year, ION Orchard by mid-2009 and 313@Somerset by end of 2009.

The new revamped Mandarin Gallery at The Meritus Mandarin Hotel, currently undergoing a S$200 million facelift, is due to open in October 2009.

The four-storey Mandarin Gallery will have 130,000 square feet of retail space, with rental rates ranging from S$12 to S$60 per square foot. About half of the space has been leased.

The landlord said it will find ways to help tenants cope with the tougher business climate, but it said cutting rents may not be best thing to do.

“Rental rebates is not a solution… It would help (but) at the end of the day… it is a lot more effective if we come together, put our efforts, and even our finances together, to try to sustain the shopping, the spending and the traffic,” said Patrina Tan, senior VP of Retail, Marketing & Leasing, Overseas Union Enterprise (OUE).

OUE said it will try to woo shoppers to the mall with brands that are new to the Singapore market.

Many tenants along the shopping belt are locked in to their rental rates for up to three years, with the option to negotiate new deals thereafter. Analysts said high-end retailers tend to have the upper hand during such negotiations compared to mass market retailers.

“If the landlord feels that this tenant is important, if it’s a part of the mall’s image that he is trying to build up, he may be a bit more flexible in the rental negotiations. And it’s not just rentals, it could be other terms or incentives like rent-free periods,” said Nicholas Mak, director of Consultancy & Research at Knight Frank.

With festive shopping round the corner, analysts said landlords might prefer to wait a little.

Analysts also expect retail rents to drop by one per cent this quarter.

Tan Huey Ying, director of Research & Advisory at Colliers International said: “It depends on when the economy is going to recover. But if the two integrated resorts were to proceed and open as scheduled, then I think there is some likelihood that the market may see a revival in the second half of 2010 or the first half of 2011.”

While many of the projects along Orchard Road will open as planned, market watchers expect about 20 per cent of the upcoming retail projects, especially those in the suburban areas, to be deferred till 2010 due to construction delays.


More options for ‘homeless’?

Source : Today - 19 Nov 2008

MPs suggest using Govt buildings as interim housing, more levels of rental subsidies

IF WE can make space for foreign workers in disused schools, why can’t we do the same for Singaporeans in desperate need of housing, suggested a Member of Parliament yesterday. Why not use unoccupied Government buildings as interim housing for the “homeless”, asked MP for Sembawang GRC Lim Wee Kiak.

He was referring to Singaporeans who, because of extreme financial difficulty, find themselves with negative equity after selling their flats. They do not have the means to buy another flat, nor qualify for rental housing because their household income is more than $1,500 and renting a Housing and Development Board (HDB) flat on the open market would be too expensive.

Parliamentary Secretary for National Development Maliki Osman acknowledged that the issue of HDB mortgage arrears has surfaced in many meet-the-people sessions due to the uncertain economic outlook, but clarified that “compulsory acquisition is a last resort, after all other avenues have been exhausted”.

As of last month, there were 33,000 flat owners with arrears of three months or more, making up less than 8 per cent of the 420,000 households with outstanding loans. This number has remained stable over the past year, said Dr Maliki.

He explained that home owners who have problems financing their mortgages can turn to HDB’s reduced re-payment scheme. “We can offer between 25 and 50 per cent reduced payment for six months, and sometimes we go all the way to two years,” he said.

But, he added, the reduced repayment scheme is only a short-term solution. For those with “difficulties in the longer term”, they would be better off selling their flats.

Interim housing is, however, a “last option”, he said.

“We don’t envisage a situation where we have a large exodus of displaced individuals and families where we have to house them in temporary housing,” he said.

MP for Aljunied GRC Cynthia Phua disagreed, saying she still sees four to five people who are unable to meet their mortgages during her weekly meet-the-people sessions, pointing to a real need for “alternative housing” for this group.

“Most of the cases cannot afford to downgrade. Where do you want them to go?” she said. She asked if the National Development Ministry could implement different levels of subsidies for rental flats.

Dr Maliki said his ministry is working on “a multi-prong” approach to address the shortage of two- and three-room flats, with more units expected to be built over the next two years.

As for more subsidies, he said there was a limit to how much the Government could provide.


Sands raises $3.2b for projects

Source : Straits Times - 19 Nov 2008

CASINO operator Las Vegas Sands announced yesterday that it had raised the additional US$2.1 billion (S$3.2 billion) required to complete its development commitments, including Singapore’s integrated resort in Marina Bay.

Its ability to do so also prompted its auditor PricewaterhouseCoopers (PwC) to remove a warning that there was ’substantial doubt’ the company could continue operating.

The fate of the Marina Bay integrated resort came into question after PwC, in a regulatory filing last week, said Las Vegas Sands could go bust.

The news had Singapore worried that the casino operator would not be able to complete the US$4.5 billion project as promised.

However, Sands’ top executives affirmed last week that the Marina Bay Sands IR remained its ‘top priority’.

To ensure that it could complete the Singapore development, it has suspended projects in Macau and Las Vegas. It also went on a drive to raise new capital through selling of stocks and warrants. The latest amount raised will be used as collateral for Sands to draw on its loan for the local project, among others.

On Monday , Senior Minister of State for Trade and Industry

S. Iswaran assured Parliament that the project was still going ahead, and that the authorities were working with the company to complete it.

He also stressed that there was no concession from the Government in allowing the number of gaming tables to be upped from 600 to 1,000. The restriction on the casino remains at 15,000 sq m.


Market-based pricing fairest for new HDB flats: Mah

Source : Straits Times - 19 Nov 2008

WHEN pricing a new HDB flat, costs are not taken into account. Its price is based on what the unit is worth at the point of purchase.

Calling it a market-based approach, National Development Minister Mah Bow Tan said it was the fairest way of pricing new flats.

‘It reflects what the flat is worth at the point of purchase, which may have no relation to what it cost to build,’ he added.

Mr Mah gave this response in Parliament yesterday to Mr Liang Eng Hwa (Holland-Bukit Timah GRC), who had asked if the Government would consider pricing flats according to costs.

The minister also said that as the HDB did not take into account costs, its building programme suffered losses of $530 million a year over the last three years.

He said a typical four-room flat in Sengkang costs more than $300,000 to build. This is above the $200,000 to $260,000 price at which HDB sells it.

He noted that there were concerns over the high prices of premium flats like those in Pinnacle@Duxton, with prices ranging from $457,000 to $645,000.

But the prices reflected the value of the flats, which are located in Tanjong Pagar. For every unit on sale, seven people wanted to buy it, said Mr Mah.

It shows people are willing to pay for flats with good value, he added.

That the market is the main driver of prices of resale HDB flats was also highlighted by Senior Minister of State for National Development Grace Fu.

Madam Ho Geok Choo (West Coast GRC) had asked why the cash that a buyer pays on top of the official valuation of a flat - known in the industry as cash- over-valuation (COV) - is proportionately so high for two- and three-room flats. Latest figures show the median COV for a two-room flat is $16,000 and for a three-room unit, $19,000.

Ms Fu said COV is based on several factors and varies in different segments of the HDB market.

COV also depends on market conditions and how much each buyer is prepared to pay, she added, noting it could drop and enter negative territory.

However, it is often positive. For instance, the median COV for two-room flats range from $4,100 in Ang Mo Kio to $23,000 in Bukit Merah.


Coming up: More smaller HDB flats

Source : Straits Times - 19 Nov 2008

Two- and three-room units in demand from low-income families, downgraders

SINGAPORE will have more two- and three-room HDB flats next year to meet rising demand.

The Government is building these smaller flats to help more low-income families own homes and those home owners who need to downgrade because of financial difficulties.

National Development Minister Mah Bow Tan made the announcement in Parliament yesterday.

However, he did not say how many more of these flats were to be built.

Instead, he stressed these flats were to meet a ‘niche demand’ and that the bulk of HDB homes being built will be three- and four-roomers.

The Housing Board stopped building two- and three-roomers in the 1980s.

But in 2004, three-roomers were re-introduced. Two years later, the HDB said it would resume building two-roomers to meet increasing demand and, since then, it has put on sale 539 of them.

The growing popularity of these smaller flats is a turnaround from the mid1990s when the overwhelming demand was for bigger four- and five-room flats, with few takers for the two- and three-roomers.

However, since 1997, following the Asian financial crisis, more and more people have clamoured for them as they were forced to downgrade.

These smaller homes, meant for lower-income families, cost between $77,000 and $275,000 each.

Adding to the demand in recent years are older singles, who have been snapping up the three-roomers in central areas such as Tiong Bahru and Queenstown.

Most recently, there was overwhelming interest when 150 smaller flats - from studios to three-roomers - were put on sale last month. These were sited across the island, from Geylang to Sengkang and Marine Parade.

In one week, 2,426 applications were received.

Realtors interviewed expect the demand to keep on rising, especially with the lousy economic outlook.

PropNex CEO Mohamed Ismail foresees the 2002 scenario re-enacted next year. ‘In the last cycle, with rising retrenchment figures, we saw many people who couldn’t maintain their four- and five-room flats selling them for smaller ones, some doing so even at a loss.’

In Parliament yesterday, MPs worried aloud about the economic impact of the global recession on their residents.

At least three MPs, including Madam Cynthia Phua (Aljunied GRC), said they were seeing four to five people each week seeking cheaper housing options.

Replying, Parliamentary Secretary for National Development Maliki Osman assured them the Government would do all it can to help Singaporeans hold on to their homes in bad economic times.

Mr Mah noted that HDB flats are affordable, pointing out that on average, owners use less than a quarter of their monthly household income for their mortgage. This is below the international benchmark of 30 per cent, he said.

Also, seven out of 10 new flat buyers service their mortgage entirely using their Central Provident Fund savings. ‘Based on this, HDB flats have remained affordable, even though property prices have risen over the years in tandem with Singapore’s economic growth,’ he said.


ADevelopers want govt to turn back clock on several policies

Source : Business Times - 19 Nov 2008

Wish-list includes reinstatement of deferred payment, old formula for DC

Some property industry players are yearning for the good old days, hoping the government will reverse some of the changes in property policies made in the past two years and thus go beyond the usual exemptions and rebates on property taxes with its off-Budget/Budget packages.

Such a strategy may be timely in helping to stimulate currently flagging property demand given that the measures were rolled out when the market was sparkling.

Developers are hoping the government will reinstate the deferment of stamp duty on property purchases where the property is under development (this was removed in December 2006) and revert to the old formula for computing development charge (DC) rates, based on 50 per cent of the appreciation in land value arising from changing the use of a site or building a bigger project on it. This was raised to 70 per cent in July last year.

Also high on the developers’ wish-list is a revival of the deferred payment scheme (DPS) - which was scrapped in October last year - to boost home purchases, with a qualifier that safeguards be introduced to address concerns that such schemes had spurred speculation.

A major property developer also suggested a demand-boosting measure in the form of changing the investment criteria for Economic Development Board’s Global Investor Programme to allow a higher quantum for property purchase or even lowering the total threshold value.

Under a new option to the Programme announced in July 2005, a foreigner can be considered for permanent resident status if he invests at least $2 million in business set-ups, other investment vehicles, and/or private residential properties, with up to half of the investment allowed in private residential properties.

‘More people taking up permanent residence or citizenship and landing on our shores will help the property market,’ said the developer.

KPMG Tax Services executive director Leonard Ong said that granting exemptions or rebates on property taxes for completed commercial and industrial buildings will help landlords and hopefully they will pass on some of the savings to their tenants.

‘Earlier this year, when property prices were on the rise, the government also raised Annual Values of properties. So based on this, owners would be paying more property taxes than last year. This makes it all the more important to introduce exemptions or rebates for property taxes,’ he added. Property tax is calculated as a percentage of a property’s annual value.

Developers are also hoping for property tax exemption for vacant land and land under development to reduce costs.

‘During this period, the market is so quiet we cannot launch projects,’ notes Ho Bee Investment chairman and CEO Chua Thian Poh.

Following the December 2006 rule change on stamp duty, property buyers are now required to pay stamp duty within 14 days from the date that the option to purchase is accepted.

The previous concession, introduced in June 1998, had allowed stamp duty payment to be deferred to the date of issuance of Temporary Occupation Permit for a project or date of sale of interest in the property, whichever was earlier, for properties under development.

Deferring payment of stamp duty for projects under development once more would lower upfront cash commitment for home buyers, some of whom may be stretched, especially since it could take a few years for the new homes they’ve bought to be completed, says Knight Frank managing director Tan Tiong Cheng.

Most developers are hoping the government will reinstate the DPS. They say DPS helped genuine home buyers, especially upgraders who may be able to sell their existing homes only when their new private home has been built.

Ho Bee’s Mr Chua suggests modifications be made to DPS to allay concerns that it also facilitated speculation in the past.

‘The most important thing is to require the buyer to secure a housing loan even if he does not need to draw down the loan immediately, to ensure a credit assessment of the buyer is done by the banks,’ he said.

However, Ho Bee’s Mr Chua disagreed with the suggestion by some analysts that the initial payment by the buyer - before the deferred payment kicks in - be raised from 10-20 per cent previously to 30 per cent, as that ‘would not help home buyers much’.

Although developers are currently not in a race to redevelop their sites given the property slump, many argue that going back to the pre-July 2007 formula for computing DC rates - which creamed off a smaller portion of the enhancement in land value - ‘would provide greater incentive for land owners to explore more productive use for their properties and could spur some activity’, the head of a listed property group said.

Developers are also concerned about banks tightening financing to home buyers and to businesses in general, and hope the Monetary Authority of Singapore will use ‘moral suasion’ to send the right signal to banks.


Tuesday, November 18, 2008

Long term measures to help HDB mortgage defaulters is best solution

Source : Channel NewsAsia - 18 Nov 2008

The Housing and Development Board (HDB) will continue to keep tabs on flat owners who default on their HDB mortgage payments.

It stressed that long term measures to help these owners manage their mortgage payment is the best solution, and that compulsory acquisition of the flat is a last resort.

As of October 2008, some 33,000 flat owners owed HDB arrears of three months or more. They make up less than 8 per cent of the 420,000 households with outstanding HDB loans.

Giving this update in Parliament on Tuesday, Parliamentary Secretary for National Development Mohamad Maliki Osman said home owners should buy within their means.

But he recognised that there are some who are affected by the economic downturn and one option for them is to downgrade to a smaller unit.

More 2 and 3-room HDB flats will be coming on stream next year to cope with the growing demand for smaller flats.

Dr Maliki also said heavily subsidised rental flats should be given to those who are in dire need.


S’pore property fund index in the works

Source : Business Times - 18 Nov 2008

Compiler seeking more data from portfolio managers

THE Investment Property Databank (IPD), a global provider of real estate investment indices, is calling for more support from property fund managers in Singapore to develop a national index.

‘An IPD Singapore Index would bring an internationally recognised property benchmark to the regional property sector, enhancing market transparency . . . and would, for the first time, facilitate property derivatives trading in Singapore,’ said IPD yesterday.

IPD has been compiling publicly available data since the first quarter of this year to determine returns from the local real estate sector last year. But because data is incomplete, it is urging property fund managers to provide more specific information on their portfolios. IPD has written to the managers to garner support and outline the steps required to create the index.

‘With the cooperation of the Singapore property market, IPD is confident it could produce the first definitive set of returns for 2007 early (next year),’ said IPD director and head of Asia-Pacific Kevin Swaddle.

According to Dr Swaddle, the proposed IPD Singapore Index will measure the return on capital employed in each period, not just the change in property values. This makes the index different from price indices already available in Singapore.

He also cited Trade and Industry Minister Lim Hng Kiang who said in a speech last year: ‘A key criterion to develop the property derivative market in Singapore would be the existence of transparent, reliable and well-followed direct property indices, which serve as reference points or benchmarks for structuring of property derivative products.’


Feedback sought on proposed names for 2 iconic spaces at Marina Bay

Source : Channel NewsAsia - 18 Nov 2008

The Urban Redevelopment Authority (URA) is seeking public feedback on the proposed names for two iconic spaces at Marina Bay.

The first is the landmark bridge which comprises two linkways for pedestrians and vehicles going to Marina Centre from the Bayfront area.

Designed to resemble the double helix structure of a DNA, the proposed names for the 280-metre pedestrian crossing are “The Double Helix” and “The DNA Bridge”.

The vehicular bridge is proposed to be called “Bayfront Bridge”, named after Bayfront Avenue - the future road which it will form part of.

The public can also give their suggestions on the proposed name for Singapore’s first Art Park, to be located at the northern end of the Bridge, next to the Marina Bay floating platform’s seating gallery.

The park, which will feature over 20 art works, is proposed to be called “ImagiNation Park”, to reflect the nation’s creativity and strive for the future.

The public can log on to www.marina-bay.sg from now till December 14 to share their views or suggest other names.

They can also get a sneak peek at the unique structure of the pedestrian bridge as the first helical segment was installed this month.

Plans to construct the new Bridge and Art Park was first announced in March 2006. URA said construction for both is on track and will be completed by end-2009.

Property Tax Amendment Bill passed, changes take effect from January

Source : Channel NewsAsia - 18 Nov 2008

Parliament has passed the Property Tax Amendment Bill.

One of the changes seeks to provide clearer rules under which structural networks of pipelines, cables, ducts and railway lines are taxed.

This will bring Singapore in line with the practice in the United Kingdom and Hong Kong.

While machinery is excluded from property tax, these structural networks - if they extend beyond the buildings which house the machinery - will be subject to property tax.

The changes take effect from January.


URA seeks feedback on bridge name

Source : Business Times - 18 Nov 2008

The Urban Redevelopment Authority (URA) is seeking people’s views on proposed names for the upcoming bridge and art park at Marina Bay.

Art and craft: Artist’s impression of the bridge at Marina Bay with its helical structure; Singapore’s first art park will be located nearby

The proposed names for the pedestrian component of the bridge are The Double Helix and The DNA Bridge, while the proposed name for the vehicular component is Bayfront Bridge.

The proposed name for the art park, at the northern end of the bridge, next to the floating platform’s seating gallery at Marina Bay, is ImagiNation Park.

Plans for the bridge and park were announced in March 2006. The bridge will link the bayfront area to Marina Centre. People who cross the bridge will enjoy a panoramic view of the city skyline - and viewing pods will overhang the water so they can stop to rest or watch events on the bay.

Nearby, Singapore’s first art park will feature 27 works by young Singaporeans. These were chosen from 136 entries in a competition in March 2006.

Construction of the bridge and park is on track and they due to be finished by end-2009, to complete the 3.5 kilometre waterfront loop connecting attractions around Marina Bay. The first helical segment of the pedestrian bridge was installed this month, giving people the double helix structure.

Construction of the bridge started in March 2007. Construction of the art park starts in May next year.