High-spec space losing favour due to low office rents

Source : Business Times – 12 Nov 2009

HIGH-spec industrial space has lost favour with tenants in the past few months. As office rents plunged, some companies have gone back to leasing commercial space, says Colliers International.

The move has, in turn, driven down rents for high-spec space. According to the property consultancy, the average monthly gross rent of high-spec space fell 14.1 per cent to $2.93 per square foot at end-September from $3.41 psf at end-March.

The lower rents reflect stiff competition for tenants, Colliers said, adding that some companies had taken advantage of the sharp drop in office rents to relocate to office premises.

This marks a reversal of the trend that started in 2007. As office rents soared on the back of a booming economy, more firms moved away from the central business district to cheaper high-spec industrial space.

But office rents have plummeted amid the economic slowdown. CB Richard Ellis said in September that monthly prime office rents averaged $7.50 psf in the third quarter, dropping 12.8 per cent from the previous quarter. They have fallen 53.4 per cent from their peak in Q3 last year.

Colliers said that on top of shrinking demand, a large supply of high-spec space is expected to appear next year, which has also contributed to falling rents.

In contrast, rents for some factories and warehouses have been relatively stable. Colliers said that from end-March to end-September, the average monthly gross rent of single-user factories in central Singapore stayed firm at $1.30 psf, while that of warehouses in eastern Singapore held up at $1.20 psf.

And on a positive note, Colliers said that there has been a noticeable pick-up in sales of industrial space. These involved mainly private investors, owner-occupiers and domestic companies.

While industrial space markets across the Asia-Pacific appear to be bottoming out, Colliers remains cautious in its outlook. It believes that these markets could stay subdued in the next 12 months, given that the global economy is still recovering and excess manufacturing capacity still exists.

Colliers research and advisory director Tay Huey Ying expects rents and capital values of factories and warehouses in Singapore to rise by up to 5 per cent in the next 12 months ‘on the back of the expected improvement in the economy and the manufacturing sector, as well as more optimistic business sentiment’.